The soft underbelly of “soft” power – I
DeepDipThe message critiques the concept of "soft power" as vague and lacking in substance. It contrasts "hard power" as external influence with "soft power" based on shared values, illustrating the difficulty of transitioning between the two. A storytelling example and a case study demonstrate the challenges of combining external inducements with internal conviction. The critique suggests that "soft" power cannot be monetized, only shared like in a family, and questions its effectiveness in shaping global politics.
Kairos and the precautionary principle
DeepDipThe concept of kairos introduces the importance of timing in decision-making, urging for action at the right moment. It can lead to hasty decisions based on urgency rather than thorough reasoning, potentially resulting in dangerous consequences. Historical examples illustrate how kairos rhetoric has been used to justify drastic actions. While it can be a tool for collective action, it requires deep understanding and is more of an art than a steadfast principle. Kairos can overshadow rational deliberation and emotions often prevail in times of urgency.
The future of WTO
DeepDipThe text discusses the upcoming selection of a new Director General for the WTO and reflects on the past successes and challenges faced by the organization. It highlights the importance of evolving strategies to address the changing global trade landscape and suggests reforms such as biennial reviews and greater involvement of the private sector. The text emphasizes the need for a proactive and resilient WTO, capable of adapting to emerging complexities like climate change and trade dynamics. Ultimately, it calls for a collective effort to create fair and stable international trading rules in a constantly shifting world.
Does diplomacy need (game) theory? – II
DeepDipThe text discusses the application of game theory in diplomacy, noting its limitations in capturing the complexities of international relations and the evolving nature of diplomatic interactions. It highlights the usefulness of game theory in understanding evolving strategies of populations rather than individual behaviors. The text suggests that game theory could offer insights into adaptive behaviors influencing policies and the emergence of legitimacy in diplomatic settings.
Does diplomacy need (game) theory? – I
DeepDipThe writer questions the ambiguity of the term "theory" and explores the role of diplomatic theory, emphasizing the importance of historical reasoning and ethics. They discuss the concept of diplomacy using game theory principles, highlighting its heuristic nature and usefulness for understanding state interactions. The writer suggests that focusing on developing new hypotheses is more crucial for diplomacy than adhering strictly to existing frameworks. They argue that diplomacy should involve transcending limitations, emphasizing creativity and vision over conventional problem-solving approaches.
While the delegate drones on…
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Study events – not linear time!
DeepDipThe message emphasizes the importance of studying events over linear time, examining the intricacies and contingencies rather than following a predetermined narrative. It discusses the significance of focusing on the circumstances and details of events like stock market transactions and historical revolutions, highlighting the emergence of institutions and the role of passions. The text suggests studying these complexities using computer models and comparing different revolutionary events for a deeper understanding of their causes and outcomes.
How to prosecute mentality?
DeepDipThe text discusses the challenges of prosecuting crimes that are influenced by underlying mentalities rather than individual acts or organized conspiracies. It explores how justice systems struggle to address collective intentionalities and break up harmful mentalities. The author highlights the limitations of profiling and data mining in addressing these issues. Ultimately, the text emphasizes the difficulty in proving and combating crimes rooted in intangible mentalities and unintended consequences.
Vermilion abuse (II)
DeepDipThe text discusses the belief in soul-stealing through witchcraft and a historical case involving Emperor Qianlong of China investigating "soul-stealing" through tampering with a person's queue (a Manchu headdress). The narrative delves into the dynamics between the Principal (autocrat) and Agents (bureaucrats), highlighting issues of bureaucracy, intelligence reliability, and loyalty. Qianlong's handling of the 1768 sorcery scare reveals power struggles within his administration. Ultimately, the episode concludes with innocent individuals being punished, guilty parties escaping, and the emperor's image being protected through amnesty.
Vermilion abuse (I)
DeepDipEmperor Qianlong, known for his bureaucratic micromanagement, faced challenges due to his vacillating nature and Manchu origins ruling over a predominantly Han population. The struggle of maintaining power while retaining cultural differences led to tension, notably symbolized by the forced hairstyle changes imposed on the Han. This cultural clash escalated into political dissent and threats to the dynasty. Qianlong's story reflects the complexities of governance and the intricacies of power dynamics between ruling minorities and the majority population.