Embracing AI in diplomacy: How can Europe prepare for pivotal transformation in global affairs?

On 21-22 November, we addressed the 25th European Diplomatic Programme held in Budapest in the context of the Hungarian EU presidency. It is an annual gathering of around 100 junior diplomats from EU member states and EEAS and directors of EU’s diplomatic training institutes and academies.

The event highlighted the urgency of embracing AI in diplomatic training, reflecting on the dynamic discussions with emerging diplomats and training directors. As AI continues to evolve, it is crucial for the next generation of diplomats to not only understand its implications but to actively engage with it as a tool that will directly influence their careers and the geopolitical landscape. Our presentation in Budapest focused on the following three sets of interplays between AI and diplomacy:

Firstly, AI is reshaping the geopolitical environment in which diplomacy operates. It facilitates the redistribution of economic and societal power, leading to the emergence of new centres of influence. Countries like China, the USA, the Gulf states, and Singapore are becoming pivotal players in the AI arena. Consequently, Europe must reassess its position within this rapidly changing geoeconomic landscape and strategise its engagement with these emerging AI powerhouses.

Secondly, AI introduces new topics to the diplomatic agenda. Beyond traditional issues like security, trade, and environmental concerns, diplomats must now navigate AI-related matters at both regional and UN levels. These include negotiating access to AI development hardware, managing data usage, protecting AI-generated knowledge, and addressing the short-, medium-, and long-term risks posed by AI. Training programmes must equip young diplomats with the skills to tackle this fast-evolving AI diplomatic agenda effectively.

Thirdly, AI brings innovative tools that transform how diplomacy is conducted. During the discussions, the focus was on practical AI applications, such as enhancing diplomatic reporting, negotiations, and policy analysis. Diplomatic services must develop internal AI systems to leverage the vast repositories of knowledge in reports from worldwide missions. AI offers a practical solution to activate this wealth of information, transforming it into actionable insights for addressing contemporary challenges. Knowledge, more than just data, is a strategic asset for ministries of foreign affairs, and AI can help protect and enhance this asset for future diplomatic endeavours.

While some argue that over-reliance on AI could undermine traditional diplomatic skills, it is essential to view AI as a complementary tool rather than a replacement. The human element in diplomacy—empathy, cultural understanding, and negotiation skills—remains irreplaceable. AI should be seen as an enabler that enhances these capabilities, not as a substitute.

In conclusion, integrating AI into diplomatic training and strategy is not merely an option but a necessity. As AI continues to reshape the global diplomatic landscape, EU diplomats must be at the forefront of this transformation.

The call to action is clear: invest in AI training and strategic planning to prepare for the critical AI transformation that lies ahead.

We thank our Hungarian hosts for a highly enjoyable and professional event!