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The strategy of provocation

Published on 01 April 2025

Provoking a stalker

In this short film, an ermine (actually, the stoat in winter coat) is playing peek-a-boo from his home in a rotting tree.

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Now you may just exclaim: How cute! And move on, or wonder about his behaviour.

I am not an expert, but I suspect that he is engaging in deliberate provocation of his enemies. Small as it is, the ermine has few chances against predators. His changing coat may ensure a degree of mimetic protection from passing marauding animals. It is of little help, if the predator is stalking him.

What to do? One is hungry, and one wants to go about the business of life. Playing peek-a-boo – deliberately provoking the stalker – the prey aims to trip the stalker into an inappropriate move, forcing it into revealing itself. Having lost the first round, the stalker is faced with the choice of whether to begin anew with the waiting game or move on. From the prey’s point of view, provocation is a clever move: he is concentrating wholly on outwitting the predator. Once outside and foraging, his attention will be split between searching for food and recognising foes – he is at a disadvantage.

Note the subtle ‘social interplay’ between predator and prey. Both have the same goal: getting food before they starve. Available energy and time are their constraints. Both have to decide whether to invest time in a waiting game. Given the basic imbalance between the two, the prey tips the balance in its favour by tripping up the predator and confronting it with the economic calculation of the consequences – a massively heightened cost of capture. Usually, the first move is decisive: unless captured at once, the prey is hardly worth having.

The ermine’s behaviour is quite common in nature: it is a declination of the handicap principle (see The Handicap Principle by Amotz Zahavi and Avishag Zahavi in which the authors propose that costly signals have evolved to be reliable communication tools in the animal kingdom, including predator–prey interactions).

Even partners in the most adversarial relationships, such as prey and predator, may communicate, provided that they have a common interest: in this case, both want to avoid a pointless chase. […] in order to be effective, signals have to be reliable; in order to be reliable, signals have to be costly.

– Amotz Zahavi and Avishag Zahavi, The Handicap Principle

Provocation in human affairs

I may now spin an analogy to the role of provocation in human affairs.

In nature, provocation is an instrument of communication. It aims at forcing the opponent to reveal information about intent and commitment to its goal. Like all communication, it has to be fine-tuned. We are operating here at the limit between useful and counterproductive – the ambiguous line where blowback blows. Too much or too little provocation – and the battle is lost.

The price of provocation: In 1790, an insult led Charles de Lameth and the Marquis de Castries to settle it with swords.
Provocation sometimes leads to duels – and the consequences are rarely just symbolic (Wikimedia).

Should the ermine self-righteously – I’d say, mindlessly – assert its ‘right’ to go about its feeding business unhindered, it would soon end up dead – its right crashing against the predator’s might. The same goes for human affairs: my right to self-expression – the hailed non-negotiable freedom of speech – needs balancing against the right of others. For both sides to live together in harmony, rather than destroying each other in a battle of brawn, compromise is needed. How ironic: those who assert transcendental values, in the end, put everything on a scale of utter power as will is pitted against will. Power will decide between non-negotiable values and principles.

This is an abstract and rational world. Ideas, however, always have emotional consequences. Unlike the natural world, in human affairs, provocation offends. It triggers a reaction of hate and revulsion, because it breaks the bond of reciprocal trust on which the social group rests. Pope Francis put it in an easily understandable fashion:

If my good friend Doctor Gasparri [who organises the Pope’s trips] speaks badly of my mother, he can expect to get punched. You cannot provoke. You cannot insult the faith of others. You cannot make fun of the faith of others. There is a limit.

– Pope Francis on freedom of speech

The fact that we can’t establish a limit a priori does not mean it does not exist. It is a case of ‘the proof of the pudding is in the eating’ – not just an empty bromide.

In nature, finally, provocation may turn to goading. Monkeys, safe up in the tree, may disparage the lion in the grass – usually, there is an inverse relation between distance and stridency. Provocation here is not an attempt to communicate with the beast, but a rallying cry among the monkeys. Beyond mutual warning, it generates pleasing endorphins from feeling safe in danger.

Woe to the monkey falling from the tree.

This post was first published on DeeDip.

Explore more of Aldo Matteucci’s insights on the Ask Aldo chatbot.  

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